NY State of Mind …

The retirement of New York Congressman Eric Massa (D-29) puts this district into play in the fall…or maybe sooner. Many are calling on NY governor David Patterson to call a Special Election. According to published reports, New York law allows Patterson some wiggle room in that area, and he’s taking full advantage of that leeway so far.

The district, which contains parts of Ontario and Monroe counties, earns an R +5 Cook Rating, so Republicans are chomping at the bit to get a Special Election scheduled so their guy, former Corning Mayor Tom Reed, can get his shot. The Democrats have tabbed Matthew Zeller, an Afghan war vet and–according to CQ Politics–an “unknown former CIA employee.” Does anyone else think this could be a real fun one to watch?

The circumstances in NY-29 are compelling enough for us to ask the good people of that area how they feel about holding a special election, and who is leading currently in the polls. On April 20th, we asked 904 voters in NY-29 two questions. First:

Do you think the governor should call for a special election to fill the 29th District’s vacancy?

 
Yes
No
Unsure
OVERALL60.84%26.66%12.50%
GENDER
Female59.08%27.77%13.15%
Male65.37%26.04%8.59%
AFFILIATION
Democrat60.34%28.02%11.64%
Republican63.91%24.79%11.29%
Independent61.28%29.79%8.94%

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We then asked them:

If the election for congressman from this area were held today, for whom would you vote? (choices identified by Party)

NY-29 Choice for Congress

 
Tom Reed
Matthew Zeller
Unsure
OVERALL41.38%24.01%34.62%
GENDER
Female38.83%25.89%35.28%
Male46.26%21.88%31.86%
AFFILIATION
Democrat12.93%53.45%33.62%
Republican67.77%8.82%23.42%
Independent31.49%19.57%48.94%
Date of Poll: April 20, 2010
Number of responses: 904
Margin of Error: ±3.26%
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