Florida Surprise

We have a motto at We Ask America Polls: The Numbers are the Numbers. That means that if the audience we dial meets our standards, we don’t second-guess the results–even if the numbers buck conventional wisdom.

That’s the situation we face with our first Florida poll that swims against the tide of Newt Gingrich surging in the Sunshine State. Instead, we’re showing Mitt Romney rebounding sufficiently to regain a slight, margin-of-error lead.

Here are the head-to-head results, plus results to our question concerning which candidate voters think will ultimately win the nomination:

Type: Automated - Date: 1/23//2012 - Participants: 946 Likely voters - Margin of Error: ± 3.19%
CandidateHead-to-HeadUltimate Winner
Gingrich32%34%
Romney34%45%
Santorum9%4%
Paul8%4%
Undecided17%13%

Granted, this poll was completed just minutes before another debate commenced–a forum where Gingrich often excels and Romney can display an equivocating persona. But we believe that Florida voters are still making up their minds and the next few days could make pollsters nauseous from heaving swells of change. A key indicator for us is that Romney one again easily leading the pack when we asked who voters thought would ultimately win the nomination without regard to their personal choice.

Of course, if Rick Santorum and/or Ron Paul decide to drop out of the race, the dynamics can change in a heartbeat. In the meantime, the numbers prevail…but we’ll soon be back to check the mindset of Florida voters.

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NOTE: This poll was paid for by We Ask America Polls™. The information has not been shared with any public official, candidate, cause or campaign.

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