Heartland Oct01

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Heartland

We’ll quickly finish up our second round of our own “Big Ten” states today before the debates commence. This morning: Iowa & Michigan; the remaining states will get posted later today, so check back later.

Michigan

It wasn’t that long ago that many respected prognosticators said that Michigan was in play. Mitt Romney did his best to lay claim to being a favorite son, and the early numbers indicated that he may have a chance to keep the state competitive. Today, that simply does not appear to be the case. President Obama has spent his time wisely in this state that was in huge trouble when the economic bubble burst. Whether or not you agree with the automotive industry bailout that was directed mostly at General Motors, those whose jobs were tied to the situation were paying attention. And they seem to be showing it in our latest results:

Poll type: Automated Date: Sept. 25-27, 2012 - Participants: 1,064 Likely Voters - Margin of Error: ± 3.1%
PRESIDENT
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Gary Johnson
Undecided
ALL VOTERS52.0%39.9%1.1%7.0%
GOP ONLY14.3%81.2%0.3%4.2%
DEM ONLY89.0%6.0%0.5%4.5%
IND ONLY42.7%42.7%2.5%12.1%

As with all polls in this series, we’ve included Libertarian Gary Johnson to measure third-party support. And please note that the political party affiliation is self-identified in these polls.

Iowa

Iowa must feel like the prettiest girl at the dance this year. Not only does their caucus system put them in the limelight early and often, both Obama and Romney targeted the Hawkeye State as a pivotal one in a tight race. Unlike Michigan, Iowa is still in play, though:

Poll type: Automated Date: Sept. 25-27, 2012 - Participants: 1,273 Likely Voters - Margin of Error: ± 2.8%
PRESIDENT
Barack Obama
Mitt Romney
Gary Johnson
Undecided
ALL VOTERS47.5%43.7%2.3%6.5%
GOP ONLY11.2%82.6%1.1%5.1%
DEM ONLY90.3%6.5%0.5%2.7%
IND ONLY44.8%37.6%2.8%14.8%

Again: watch for more results this afternoon!

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