IL GOP Gov Tracker

Tonight we once again release our weekly tracking poll results for the Illinois GOP Primary for governor just 14 days before Election Day. We know these results must be anxiously awaited since just a few minutes after we tweeted that we’re going to publish our findings tonight we received our first complaint arguing about the results…four hours before we asked anyone a question.

At any rate, tonight 1,262 Illinois voters who confirmed their intention to vote in the GOP Primary this simple question: If the Republican Primary Election for governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

Here are their responses:

Poll type: Automated - Date: 3/4/2014 - Participants: 1,262 Likely GOP Voters - Margin of Error: ± 2.85%
 Bill BradyKirk DillardBruce RaunerDan RutherfordUndecided
ALL11.65%14.45%39.88%8.20%25.82%
BY GENDER***********************************
Women11.89%14.27%34.26%7.99%31.60%
Men11.39%14.65%46.07%8.42%19.48%
BY AGE***********************************
18-2411.93%5.03%27.63%14.94%40.47%
25-3411.93%17.26%52.08%5.29%9.45%
35-4419.19%25.21%23.42%8.96%23.22%
45-5410.89%12.80%36.43%5.71%34.17%
55-649.75%11.49%47.18%8.70%22.88%
65+10.88%15.12%39.59%8.59%25.81%
BY LOCATION***********************************
Chicago22.31%6.23%33.24%3.51%34.70%
Sub. Cook11.67%18.57%41.14%3.23%25.39%
Collars11.17%12.91%49.56%1.76%24.59%
Downstate11.21%14.60%34.25%13.84%26.10%

Click on graph below to enlarge:

Untitled

 

As the results show, Bruce Rauner continues to dominate the others by a wide margin. With only two weeks to go, it will be extraordinarily difficult for any contender to close the gap. Absent a Richter-scale scandal or some kind of proof of certain unions’ claim that they can talk their members into pulling GOP ballots for Dillard  (more on that tomorrow), Mr. Rauner’s lead should hold.

We believe that the Fat Lady is clearing her voice.

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