Iowa 3: Liberties and rights

Iowa’s motto says a lot about the mindset of those who live in that state: Our liberties we prize and our rights we will maintain.

So, does the state with that catchphrase react to the passage of the president’s health care reforms as a loss of liberty or as a right that has not only been maintained, but improved? We asked 1,229 Iowans in the 3rd Congressional District their opinion about the passage of the president’s health care reform package…but first, a little about Iowa-3.

Representing Iowans from this district is the venerable, fiscally conservative Democrat Leonard Boswell (above). According to Smart Politics:

“Boswell earned a seat in the House of Representatives in 1996 when he won a close open-seat race against Republican Mike Mahaffey by 1.8 points. This broke the Republican monopoly of the Iowan congressional delegation – all of the state’s five congressional seats were held by Republicans in 1994.”

Located smack-dab in the center of the state, this district encompasses the very heart of the heartland. You can see the map here. Why look at the map? For those of us who live in states where gerrymandering make congressional districts look like they were drawn by an over-caffeinated patient from the Institute for Nervous Disorders, the Hawkeye State’s logically shaped districts are things of beauty. Back to the poll…

On March 25, 2010, we asked the 3rd District this:

Your congressman, Leonard Boswell, voted in favor of the president’s health-care package last Sunday. Does that make you more likely, or less likely to support him for re-election?

Here are the results:

Iowa 3: Reaction to Health Care Package

 More LikelyLess LikelyUndecided
OVERALL42.15%51.83%6.02%
GENDER
Female43.04%49.57%7.39%
Male40.81%55.96%3.23%
POLITICAL AFFILIATION
Democrat76.18%18.11%5.71%
Republican13.83%83.24%2.93%
Independent/Other33.85%59.17%6.98%
Date of Poll: March 25, 2010
Number of responses: 1,229
Margin of Error: ±2.79%

 

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These results contrast slightly with other congressional districts earning a Cook PVI of D+1 in that there is a smaller spread between the two sides. However, independent voters are closer to the Midwest norm, and will undoubtedly give those who oppose him in the fall a raison d’etre. (There’s a real glaring exception to this trend: Michigan 1, where Democrat Congressman Bart Stupak–who ultimately supported the president’s reforms, is hugely popular in an R+3 district.)

Will the Independent voters in Iowa-3 stay upset? Only time will tell…we’ll be re-visiting this issue in the coming months.

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