We wrap up this season’s polls with a look at some key congressional races in We Ask America’s home state, Illinois. Will President Obama’s weekend trip to Sweet Home Chicago to pump up the Democrat turnout be enough to put some close races over the top? We’ll soon know. The President has a lot at stake here. Illinois is a Smurf-blue state. If three current seats held by Democrats (8, 11 & 14) flip and Republicans hold on to Mark Kirk’s 10th District seat, many will howl that it’s further proof that President Obama is in deep trouble. We polled those districts yesterday to see if the national trend applies. custodia galaxy tab a 7 0 But first, some comments:
The Republican takeover of the U.S. House of Representatives has been predicted for weeks by just about every TV pundit worth his/her pancake makeup. The polls that seem to verify those predictions have not brought out the best from both sides. When we’ve published a poll showing a somewhat surprising result in favor of a Republican, we get calls from Democrat True Believers accusing us of the everything from being partisan hacks to having carnal knowledge of a Budweiser Clydesdale. (Our favorite: the guy who called and asked if “youse guys are former members of the Ice Capades?“) Even more disturbing are those Republicans who called thanking us for “making sure the polls come out in favor of the good guys.” Sigh. custodia tablet samsung a 2016 Let’s make one thing clear: the numbers are the numbers. We don’t have a dog in any of these hunts. We’ve compared notes with pollsters who are aligned with groups on both sides of the fence, and there is consensus that some of these districts are notoriously hard to poll, and turnout can change everything. If our numbers are wrong in any given race, it’s because we’ve failed in an honest effort to measure public opinion, not because someone cooked the books. custodia samsung s8 nera There…we feel better now. On with the numbers.
All of the following automated polls were conducted on Sunday, October 31. All calls were made to likely voters. custodia tablet 10 5 samsung Margins of error are all around 3%. In the final week’s polls, we do not offer an opportunity to selected “undecided” as an option.
|Illinois 8||Melissa Bean (D)||45.74%|
|773 responses||Joe Walsh (R)||48.72%|
|Bill Scheurer (G)||5.54%|
|Illinois 10||Dan Seals (D)||45.51%|
|861 responses||Robert Dold (R)||54.49%|
|Illinois 11||Debbie Halvorson (D)||44.90%|
|829 responses||Adam Kinzinger (R)||55.10%|
|Illinois 14||Bill Foster (D)||45.34%|
|784 responses||Randy Hultgren (R)||50.38%|
|Dan Kairis (G)||4.21%|
|Illinois 17||Phil Hare (D)||43.74%|
|1,103 responses||Bobby Schilling (R)||51.77%|
|Roger Davis (G)||4.49%|