Harbinger for the fall?

Thanks to subscriber Pat Garrett for suggesting that we poll Pennsylvania’s 12 Congressional District which faces a special election on May 18. Republican businessman Tim Burns and Democrat Mark Critz are vying for this seat that is open due to the death of John Murtha.

The 12th District was carefully drawn for Murtha (check out the district map HERE), but this poll is showing a tight race due to Independents’ early leaning toward the GOP’s Burns. The district is the only one in the nation that went for John Kerry in 2004 and then backed John McCain four years later.

Buckle your seat belts political fans…this is one to watch.

Pennsylvania: 12th Congressional District Special Election

 Republican Tim BurnsDemocrat Mark CritzUndecided
OVERALL34.73%38.83%26.45%
GENDER
Female32.08%38.66%29.26%
Male39.11%39.11%21.79%
POLITICAL AFFILIATION
Democrat13.37%58.85%27.79%
Republican72.91%10.34%16.75%
Independent/Other38.78%19.90%41.33%
Date of Poll: March 15, 2010
Participants: 1,365
Margin of Error: ±2.65%