Mid-America Melee

After taking some time out to move to our new headquarters in Oak Brook, Illinois (many suggest the move was undertaken to put us closer to McDonald’s Hamburger University), We Ask America Polls™ is back with a look at the upcoming Nebraska GOP U.S. Senate primary. The race notched up the visibility ladder when Cornhusker Democrats convinced former Nebraska governor and senator, Bob Kerrey, to get back into the game. Despite being the target of a lot snark and snarl since his announcement, Kerrey enjoys huge name recognition and will intensify the spotlight on this race in the fall. But who will he face?

The six-way Republican primary has three main contenders:

  • State Attorney General Jon Bruning,
  • State Treasurer Don Stenberg, and
  • State Senator Deb Fischer

Sharyn Elander (whose own website has a blank biography page, investment adviser Pat Flynn, and truck driver Spencer Zimmerman round out the field.

Third-term AG Bruning has been the frontrunner from the get-go, although he has come under some sharp-edged attacks by  groups such as Club for Growth that question his conservative credentials and instead prefer State Treasurer Stenberg. Interesting…especially in light of the fact that Bruning has been endorsed by Rick Santorum and others who lean way to the right. Early polls indicated that Bruning had an advantage of 30+ points, but those ongoing attack ads continue to erode that lead. (A smallish poll released by Deb Fischer’s campaign claims Bruning is down to a nine-point lead.)

With that in mind, we asked 1,152 Nebraska Republicans who confirmed their intentions to vote in the upcoming Primary Election who they will support (we did not give them an option to say they were undecided). Here are the results:

Poll type:: Automated Date: 5/6//2012 - Participants: 1,173 Likely GOP voters - Margin of Error: ± 2.9%
ALL VOTERS42.2%3.4%25.9%4.0%22.5%2.0%

Although he’s not quite enjoying the tsunami-esque lead he had weeks ago, Bruning continues to be the comfortable frontrunner. While polls are good at telling us who people favor, Election Day turnout still rules the roost, so either Stenberg or Fischer could–theoretically–make a move.

But they better hurry, because Bruning is about to put this one away.