We’re baaack

NOTE: Thanks to all of you who pointed out the typo in the poll table, below. That’s been corrected.

After a while away taking care of business, We Ask America returns with our Home Stretch Series with polls in Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin and few others that pique our interest. Let’s begin in Illinois’ 10th Congressional District.

IL-CD 10 is the home base for Republican Mark Kirk–now running for U.S. Senate against Democrat Alexi Giannoulias, the Green Party’s LeAlan Jones and Libertarian Mike Labno. The district leans slightly Republican (moderate Republicans as well) and has been operating a bit under the radar against some higher profile local races. No more.

Democrat Dan Seals and Republican Robert Dold are both high-quality candidates vying to replace Kirk. This is Seals’ third time running for the office, while Dold is a newcomer. Frankly, we weren’t planning on polling this one at all.  Conventional wisdom gave Seals a solid name-recognition and political-experience advantage. But the GOP tide keeps rising in the Heartland, and Dold’s fund-raising numbers yesterday (he’s raised $800K+ this quarter and has a cool million in the bank) could mean that he’s peaking at exactly the right moment–so we moved it up the food chain. Here are the results:

Illinois 10

Type of Poll: Automated
Sample: 1,148 Likely voters
Date of Poll: 10/15/2010
Margin of Error: ±2.89%
Robert Dold (R)50.26%86.22%12.08%50.50%
Dan Seals (D)39.02%5.87%82.55%37.75%

NOTE: This poll was paid for by We Ask America. The information has not been shared with any candidate or campaign.